Early Voting, Week 2, Day 2
Early Voting, Week 2, Day 2
Did You Guys Just Take the Day Off or Something?
Tuesdays seem to be “Republican” day so far in early voting. Let me show you something:
You see how the two lines have been following, more or less, the same basic shape and direction every day? That’s a good thing, that means we’re holding our own, even though we’re the much smaller party here.
Then there was yesterday when…that didn’t happen! (arrows tell the tale)
That little dip dropped the estimated D-R count back down to 23-77, almost 22-78, so let’s get to voting again, ok?
Dade wasn’t alone yesterday though. I told you Tuesdays must be Republican day or something. Statewide, the Republicans had a good day yesterday as well. My estimate dropped from Harris 55-44-1 to Harris 54-45-1, which is still a good lead for us, but only if we can avoid these kinds of days. (I estimate around a 140K-150K vote lead)
Get out there and vote. Reach out to someone and get them to vote too! This isn’t over!
Don't want to be a total downer, so some things to cheer you up: newcomer voters seem to be favoring Harris in GA by around 54-46, more or less in line with the overall estimate. Voters switching from Day of voting in 2020 to early voting this year seem to favor Trump, but that just means that election day voting will be that much smaller. (Election day voting tends to be lopsided Republican.) Women are significantly outvoting men so far, and don't forget the "Dobbs" effect on Republican women...some of those "Republicans" I'm talking about may not be voting Republican this time because of that single issue.
Early voting statewide is now only 3% behind 2020. At the rate EV has been occurring, it should catch all the way up by the end of the week.